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It’s sometimes hard not to fall asleep watching a baseball game at home while sinking into the cushions of a comfy couch.
But what if you wanted to spice up your baseball experience.
You could head down to your local sportsbook to make a prop bet. Or you can use an online sportsbook to place a moneyline bet on the Yankees to give the Red Sox a good ol’ beatdown.
Placing a baseball wager is a great way to add excitement to watching a baseball game, especially in June when your favorite team might be long out of the race or your team is trapped in the midst of the dog days of summer.
Or perhaps you’re watching the world series but don’t really have a dog in the fight? You may enjoy placing a moneyline bet, so you can cheer for whoever plays against the Cardinals. Who wouldn’t want to see the Cards humiliated on sports biggest stage?
Over-under bets are another great bet to get your juices flowing. If you know a big ace is pitching for a mediocre team, like Corey Kluber pitching for the Rangers, you might get a good bet in by taking the under and hoping the ace can lead his team to a victory.
If you’ve never made a baseball bet before, or if you’re not really sure of the difference between a moneyline bet and an over/under, here are some explanations that might help.
If you just want to look at one specific part of a ballgame, or if you want to have a good laugh, you can try out a prop bet for size.
Prop bets are specialty bets based on an event that can happen in a baseball game. There’s a ludicrous amount of possibilities in every game, from triple plays to catcher’s interference to a 6-5-4-2-3-1 double play rundown, and prop bets run the gamut of options.
Sportsbooks will offer prop bets like these:
Total Hits+Runs+RBIs by Khris Davis (OAK):
They offer these bets based on their own subjective analysis of how likely Khris Davis is to have a big night at the dish.
Prop bets are great because you can make a bet on any specific player you may like. If you’re pulling for Khris Davis, or maybe if you want to see the opposing pitcher get crushed, you’ll have a lot more fun watching every second of Davis’ at-bats.
Davis had a down year last year on his way to a .220 batting average. He hit only 23 dingers after hitting 40 or more in the 3 seasons before 2019. Even though he had a down year last year, he’s still a power threat playing on a competitive Oakland team.
While season totals are important, they don’t help as much for individual game prop bets. The baseball season is long at 162 games and even the best hitters will go 0 for 4 at the plate on certain nights.
It’s really hard to predict a single game outcome so prop bets should mostly be made for fun or if you have a really good feeling about a particular player. Be careful with your bankroll and save it for other bet types or just bet small amounts on prop bets to enhance your watching experience.
Even with all the uncertainty that baseball presents over the course of one game, let alone a whole season, futures wagers are available year-round and let you try peering into the crystal ball of the baseball season.
Futures odds are continually given on online sportsbooks and can be made about almost any event in a baseball season.
An example futures bet you can make is which player will hit the first home run of the 2020 season.
The odds for 3 players are given below:
While some may expect Trout to have the best odds to hit the first home run, there are other factors at play than just being the best in the game, which he is.
While Mike Trout is a phenomenal player, the face of baseball, and has already cemented a Hall of Fame case before turning 30, he’s not the most prolific home run hitter in the game.
That’s not to say he’s not a great power hitter. He is. But Trout is more of a complete package than just a pure power hitter as he plays a competent defensive center field, has a career 0.419 OBP, and has stolen 30 bases or more in three separate seasons.
Many players throughout the league knock out home runs at a higher rate and you’d be surprised at who may be expected to hit a home run before him in the regular season.
Pete Alonso had a 13.1 PA/HR in his fantastic 2019 rookie season where he took the league by storm and earned the nickname, “Polar Bear” for his efforts.
Alonso wasn’t the only player to beat Trout on a stat basis as Christian Yellich had 13.2 PA/HR in his fantastic 2019 season that was tragically cut short by a foul ball to the knee.
Both players barely edged out Trout, as Trout had a PA/HR rate of 13.3, just behind the two. Miguel Sano however, had the best rate of the 4 players of 12.9 PA/HR. Miguel Sano may not be quite the overall player that Trout is, but he definitely hits home runs at a furious clip.
Considering the wager is only who will hit the first home run of the 2019 season, and not who’s the most complete player, Sano is the better bet here. He hits home runs on a more consistent basis than Trout, and although it’s a long shot, either way, Sano has a better PA/HR rate.
This is a bet that’s fun to make, but it’s not one I would bet a big chunk of my bankroll on due to how many players could easily hit the first home run out of nowhere.
Ok, so next let’s talk about moneyline bets. They’re the most obvious bet you can make and probably the one every layman thinks of first when they think of sports betting. Moneyline bets are just bets on who you think is gonna win.
There’s a little more nuance to it though, as books will sometimes favor one team over the other.
Some moneyline bets have equal juice on both sides and give the same payout if either team wins. It’s usually because the teams are pretty evenly matched.
Even juice for both sides happens more often than not in baseball. With odds being more or less even, you just need to bet on the team you think will win without worrying about odds. Evaluate the pitchers’ tendencies for each team and their fly ball rates.
Some popular teams like the Red Sox or Yankees will have high juice pretty often because the Yankees always get lots of bets placed on them at the books.
When odds start approaching +200 or +300 for a team like the Yankees or Red Sox, it’s hardly worth it to bet on them at all. You’ll only get a $100 payout if you put down $300 and it’s not accurate to say the Yankees are that much of a mortal lock to win any game.
Run lines are a great way to get a little more out of betting on a prohibitive favorite like the Yankees.
Run lines will let you even the odds on a heavy favorite by changing the bet’s terms. Instead of simply wagering on them to win, now you’ll bet that the Yankees will win by 2 runs. The run line will be set at 1.5, and if the Yankees lose or only win by one run, you’ll still lose the bet.
If you’re frustrated because you want to bet on the Yankees but the books have them as such heavy favorites that it’s not worth it to you, making a run line bet instead is a way to get more money back.
What kind of wagers do you make when betting on baseball? Let us know in the comments.
Baseball is one of the most fun sports to watch and bet on. However, it’s always more fun when you know how to bet on baseball so that you win more than you lose.
Like you, I’m a big fan of MLB, and I’m also a super experienced sports bettor who’s always looking for profitable opportunities in the baseball betting market. I’ve put together this guide on betting on baseball to help you turn the kind of profits I make regularly. Why? Because I hate bookmakers!
This article will introduce you to some of the best baseball betting sites in terms of odds, bonuses, and usability. I’ll also walk you through some of the best baseball betting strategies that I use.
Ready to make some money? Let’s go!
Bovada is the standout choice when it comes to live MLB gambling. It updates its odds as soon as there is a potentially game-changing incident, its odds are very competitive, and it offers a huge amount of MLB betting lines for each game. Plus, Bovada keeps you informed with each game via up-to-the-minute statistics. These will help you place better bets.
Right now, it is offering a 50% welcome bonus to new players worth up to $250.
MyBookie is known for posting their lines super fast, and they’re also one of the best in the business when it comes to competitive odds. MyBookie ran some ace promotions throughout the MLB season, too. And if you’re betting on the move, the MyBookie mobile version is top-notch.
At the moment, there’s a 100% welcome bonus on the table for new players worth as much as $300.
If you’re new to betting on baseball, BetAmerica has a helpful section on their website where their experts give out free news and analysis. This helps you to make better, more informed betting decisions.
As well as that, BetAmerica is known for offering regular free bets to customers that can be used on the MLB, and their odds are good.
There’s a 100% matched deposit welcome bonus available to new players worth as much as $100.
To improve your odds of winning on sports betting, it’s always helpful to fatten your overall knowledge up with some stats and facts. Baseball, in particular, is a numbers game. The more you know about the metrics, the more you’ll win.
Here are some of my favorite stats and facts for betting on baseball:
One of the most exciting things about betting on baseball is that there are lots of different types of bets you can place. I’m not going to cover every single bet, but here are the most popular ones:
The money line bet is the least complex of all bets. There are no point spreads involved, and all you have to do is decide who you think will win the match outright – the favorite or the underdog. This means you can ignore the Major League Baseball spread altogether.
The money line for a favorite to win the game typically looks like this:
The money line for an underdog to win the game looks like this:
You’ll need rudimentary math skills to find the value bets, but it’s not that difficult. Essentially, if you place a $100 wager on an underdog that’s priced at -200, you will win $200.
The over/under bet is popular in all the big sports. When it comes to baseball, it refers to the total runs scored in any one game.
For example, before a game begins, the sportsbook will set a total number of combined runs between both teams. This could be 6,7,8,9 or even more. It’s then up to you to decide if the final total will be higher or lower (over or under). It’s a fun bet that requires a bit of research on your part if you want to make a success of it.
The first 5 bet is another really simple baseball bet that’s easy to get the hang of. Essentially, you’re just betting on who you think will be leading after the first 5 innings of a match. To help you place a more informed first 5 bet, make sure to see who the starting pitchers are.
One of the reasons the first 5 bet is so attractive is that you’re not stressing out about late-inning pitch hitters or who’s in the bullpen. Instead, you just need to take a look at the starting pitchers, and make your decision from there.
When you bet on the run line for a match, you’re essentially handing the other team 1.5 runs. Why would you make this bet? Basically, you’re confident enough that team A is going to win by numerous runs at a canter. So, you hand the other team 1.5 runs and make yourself a bigger profit.
Whilst the profits can be big, it’s important to refer back to the statistic I shared earlier that shows nearly 30% of MLB games since 2004 have been decided by just one run. It’s certainly something to bear in mind when considering the MLB betting line.
A futures bet is when you place a wager on something that will happen sometime in the future. For example, you might place a wager on the Yankees to win the World Series in 2021.
Whilst futures are popular bets, and they also mean that your money is going to be tied up for a large amount of time. On the plus side, if it looks as though your futures bet is coming in, the sportsbook sometimes offers to pay out early (albeit at a smaller profit than if you held on until the end).
Now that you understand a bit more about the types of baseball bets you can place let’s take a closer look at two excellent MLB betting strategies that I’ve personally used. Please note that, while these strategies have yielded solid profits for me and many other sports bettors, past results do not dictate what will happen next.
I covered the First 5 bet just a little earlier in this article. It’s a type of bet – but it’s also a strategy that can prove very fruitful if you get it right.
Essentially, with this MLB betting strategy, you’re betting on a team to be leading after the first five innings. That’s it. But why would you do this? And how’s it possible to make it consistently profitable?
I can respond to both questions with the same amount: Take a look at the starting pitchers. If you can see that Team A is starting with stronger pitchers than Team B, it makes sense to lump your money on Team A to be leading after the first five innings.
Also, take a look at form and statistics. How often does a team lead after the first 5 innings? What you want to look for are teams that start strongly. These are teams to back using these strategies.
MLB is a long, long season, and teams play a huge amount of games. But what’s also worth noting is that teams play a LOT of games on the road. Sometimes, they’re away from home for a very long time. This can have an adverse effect on a team. By the end of their away stretch, they’re desperate to get home to see their families again.
For us bettors, they’re also desperate to play in front of their home crowd again, knowing that after the game, they can return to their wife and kids.
See, the records back us up on this. Traditionally, when a team returns after a long road trip, they kill it at home. Don’t get me wrong; they don’t always win. But backing the home team after a lengthy road trip is a solid strategy that can pay off. With that in mind, you should still study the form closely and check for variables, such as injuries and suspensions. But generally, this is a good MLB betting strategy.
Having a strategy in place is one thing. But let’s supplement that strategy with some helpful tips and tricks for betting on baseball.
I’ve mentioned starting pitchers a few times in this article – and for a good reason. Starting pitching matters. A lot. Starters might not throw as many innings as they did in the previous decades, but they still throw more innings than the bullpen.
The beauty of the MBL for sports bettors is that each team plays 162 games per year. That’s insane. It also means that you shouldn’t place a bet simply for the sake of placing a bet. If there’s no value to be had, don’t sweat it. Wait until the next game.
Yes, it’s a truism that home teams – in general – outperform away teams. But if you’re going to find any value, what matters more is that you know what the difference is by looking at the relevant splits. Take the time to crunch the data. Check the form, the stats, and find trends.
Offense sure is exciting. But defense is super valuable in an MLB game, and good MLB gamblers know this. In fact, I’d say that it’s usually defense that wins or loses a game.
When looking at the defense, consider the range of the players. Also, consider how each defensive player performs on the balls he reaches.
Take a look at catchers, too – how much confidence they back the pitching staff, for example, as well as how they deal with an attempt at a stolen base.
To aid your betting career, it’s a good idea to use online baseball betting tools. There are a few out there – here are some of my top recommendations:
Knowing how to bet on baseball will give you a crucial edge over the bookmaker. I hope you’ve enjoyed my article, but the next step to getting better at sports betting is to choose a sportsbook that’s right for you. Then, grab the welcome bonus and use tools to help you place better, more informed baseball bets.
And don’t forget to leave a comment with your success stories!