Betting Odds: Manny Pacquiao (-185), Lucas Matthysse (+160) Fight Analysis: On July 15, all-time great Manny Pacquiao returns to the ring to take on noted puncher Lucas Matthysse for the WBA 147-pound belt in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. This will be Pacquiao’s first fight in a year, since he lost a controversial decision to unbeaten Jeff Horn. Matthysse: Who’s Got the Winning Odds? Pacquiao v Matthysse. Manny Pacquiao is one of the biggest names in the boxing world. If you plan on betting on this mega fight.
Pacquiao vs Matthysse odds Sports.bet.com.au in Australia has slated Pacquiao at 1.47 and Matthysse at 2.55. Hence, Manny sits at -213 and Matthysse at +155. Pacquiao-Matthysse fight odds round betting are available with some decent size payouts. Manny Pacquiao On Points was the favorite at 4/5. More round betting odds. Place Bets Here. Fresh off an impressive seventh-round knockout over Lucas Matthysse in April, Manny “Pac-Man” Pacquiao is back in action on Jan. 19 at the MGM Grand Garden Arena, in Las Vegas, Nevada, taking on Adrien “The Problem” Broner. We have the odds, a breakdown and a pick for this fight.
Lucas Matthysse vs Manny Pacquiao Preview July 14th
Lucas Matthysse of Argentina will be defending his WBA Welterweight Title for the first time this Saturday, July 14th when he meets ring legend Manny Pacquiao of the Philippines in Kuala Lumpur. The 12-round bout will be streamed live in the U.S. On ESPN+ while fans in Britain and Ireland can catch the action live on BoxNation. Matthysse won the vacant crown in January when he stopped Tewa Kiram of Thailand in the eighth round. Pacquiao’s last fight came last July when he dropped a highly-controversial unanimous decision and his WBO Welterweight belt to Jeff Horn in Australia.
Here are the betting odds from online sportsbook BetOnline.ag (full review here).
Matthysse is now 35 years old and will climb into the ring with a record of 39-4 along with 36 Kos. His last loss came in an attempt at a world title in October of 2015 when he was stopped in the 10th round by Viktor Postol for the vacant WBC Super Lightweight Crown. He has a pretty good chin even though he’s been dropped a couple of times and was stopped by Postol, but it’s definitely not made of granite. Matthysse isn’t the tallest welterweight around as he’s just over 5-feet-6-inches with a 69-inch.
His other losses have been against Danny Garcia, Devon Alexander and Zab Judah and all three were by controversial decisions. Matthysse prefers opponents who stand in front of him and attack rather than those who attempt to box him, but his opponent on Saturday night is more likely to use his boxing skills and speed instead of getting into a toe-to-toe brawl. This means Matthysse is going to have to work to close the gap and do some damage.
The champion has decent boxing skills, but he’s best known for his power as he owns a knockout ratio of 82 per cent. He’s one of the hardest punchers of his generation and is never out of a fight because of it. His biggest wins have been against Emmanuel Taylor, Ruslan Provodnikov, Roberto Ortiz, John Molina Jr., Lamont Peterson, Humberto Soto, Mike Dallas Jr., De Marcus Corley and Vivian Harris. Matthysse has plenty of experience with 189 rounds under his belt turning pro back in 2004.
The 39-year-old southpaw Pacquiao will climb through the ring ropes with a record of 59-7-2 with 38 Kos. He’s still an excellent boxer with fine skills and speed, but Pacquiao’s power hasn’t been evident for quite some time. He hasn’t stopped an opponent in more than eight years as the last man he stopped was Miguel Cotto of Puerto Rico when he finished him in the 12th round back in 2009. Still, his knockout ratio currently stands at a decent 56 per cent, but he can’t depend on his power anymore.
Pacquiao’s chin has held up well since Juan Manuel Marquez landed the perfect punch on him in the sixth round back in December of 2012, but he’s been stopped in three of his seven career losses. Since he’s been on the canvas a few times during his career he needs to keep his focus at all times and make sure he doesn’t leave himself wide open for a Matthysse power shot. His key to winning this fight will be his speed and chin since the champion is the harder hitter, especially at welterweight.
Pacquiao stands just over 5-feet-5-inches tall and owns a 67-inch reach. He’s boxed 455 rounds since he turned pro back in 1995. He has tons of big fight experience against the best in the world after winning world titles in eight weight classes. Pacquiao has simply faced all the top boxers of his era and has lost just seven times. Like himself, a good number of his past opponents will be ending up in the hall of fame and this is what makes him a boxing legend. He’s fleet of foot with great hand speed and controls most fights with his right jab, stinging left hand and lightning-quick combinations.
Pacquiao is the more talented of the two, but that doesn’t guarantee anything as we saw against Horn. He’ll need to work hard for all 12 rounds with speed and movement and make sure he doesn’t get tagged directly on the chin. Matthysse is usually a slow starter, but can’t afford to do that against Pacquiao as he needs to get out of the gate early and establish his power by letting his hands go. We’ve seen Matthysse outboxed and stopped in the past, but he’s still one of the best welterweights out there due to his style and power. Don’t be surprised by any outcome here, but the most likely scenarios appear to be a Pacquiao decision or a Matthysse stoppage. Pacquiao may not have Freddie Roach in his scorner this time, but his style should be good enough to take a decision as long as his chin holds out.
This is a 50/50 fight, but Pacquiao’s boxing skills should frustrate Matthysse.
Play: Pacquiao -205 @ BetOnline.ag
Check out my recent boxing betting picks to see my current form
Lucas Matthysse betting • Manny Pacquiao betting
On Sunday, July 15th, the great Manny Pacquiao will step back into the ring to challenge Lucas Matthysse for the WBA Welterweight Title after a one-year hiatus. The fight will be live from the Axiata Arena in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, which marks the first time in 43 years that the country will host a major boxing fight. To broadcast this fight during the prime time hours in America, the bout was scheduled for Sunday morning in Malaysia. ESPN+ will air the fight live beginning around 9pm ET.
Another “first” for this fight is that the former 8-division champion Pacquiao will be going into a boxing match without his longtime trainer Freddie Roach for the first time since 2001. Will this have a huge impact on the welterweight championship bout?
This fight marks the 69th time that the legendary Filipino fighter Manny Pacquiao steps into the ring. He currently sports a 59-7-2 record and has 38 knockouts in his 59 wins. The following is a quick look at Manny’s illustrious career courtesy of Wikipedia:
Opponent | Fight Results | Record | Fight # | |
Jeff Horn | Loss | UD | 59–7–2 | 68 |
Jessie Vargas | Win | UD | 59–6–2 | 67 |
Timothy Bradley | Win | UD | 58–6–2 | 66 |
Floyd Mayweather Jr. | Loss | UD | 57–6–2 | 65 |
Chris Algieri | Win | UD | 57–5–2 | 64 |
Timothy Bradley | Win | UD | 56–5–2 | 63 |
Brandon Ríos | Win | UD | 55–5–2 | 62 |
Juan Manuel Márquez | Loss | KO | 54–5–2 | 61 |
Timothy Bradley | Loss | SD | 54–4–2 | 60 |
Juan Manuel Márquez | Win | MD | 54–3–2 | 59 |
Shane Mosley | Win | UD | 53–3–2 | 58 |
Antonio Margarito | Win | UD | 52–3–2 | 57 |
Joshua Clottey | Win | UD | 51–3–2 | 56 |
Miguel Cotto | Win | TKO | 50–3–2 | 55 |
Ricky Hatton | Win | KO | 49–3–2 | 54 |
Oscar De La Hoya | Win | RTD | 48–3–2 | 53 |
David Díaz | Win | TKO | 47–3–2 | 52 |
Juan Manuel Márquez | Win | SD | 46–3–2 | 51 |
Marco Antonio Barrera | Win | UD | 45–3–2 | 50 |
Jorge Solís | Win | KO | 44–3–2 | 49 |
Érik Morales | Win | KO | 43–3–2 | 48 |
Óscar Larios | Win | UD | 42–3–2 | 47 |
Érik Morales | Win | TKO | 41–3–2 | 46 |
Héctor Velázquez | Win | TKO | 40–3–2 | 45 |
Érik Morales | Loss | UD | 39–3–2 | 44 |
Narongrit Pirang | Win | TKO | 39–2–2 | 43 |
Juan Manuel Márquez | Draw | SD | 38–2–2 | 42 |
Marco Antonio Barrera | Win | TKO | 38–2–1 | 41 |
Emmanuel Lucero | Win | KO | 37–2–1 | 40 |
Serikzhan Yeshmagambetov | Win | TKO | 36–2–1 | 39 |
Fahprakorb Rakkiatgym | Win | KO | 35–2–1 | 38 |
Jorge Eliecer Julio | Win | TKO | 34–2–1 | 37 |
Agapito Sánchez | Draw | TD | 33–2–1 | 36 |
Lehlohonolo Ledwaba | Win | TKO | 33–2 | 35 |
Foijan Prawet | Win | KO | 32–2 | 34 |
Tetsutora Senrima | Win | TKO | 31–2 | 33 |
Nedal Hussein | Win | TKO | 30–2 | 32 |
Seung-Kon Chae | Win | TKO | 29–2 | 31 |
Arnel Barotillo | Win | KO | 28–2 | 30 |
Reynante Jamili | Win | KO | 27–2 | 29 |
Medgoen Singsurat | Loss | TKO | 26–2 | 28 |
Gabriel Mira | Win | TKO | 26–1 | 27 |
Todd Makelim | Win | TKO | 25–1 | 26 |
Chatchai Sasakul | Win | KO | 24–1 | 25 |
Shin Terao | Win | TKO | 23–1 | 24 |
Narong Datchthuyawat | Win | KO | 22–1 | 23 |
Melvin Magramo | Win | UD | 21–1 | 22 |
Chokchai Chockvivat | Win | KO | 20–1 | 21 |
Ariel Austria | Win | TKO | 19–1 | 20 |
Wook-Ki Lee | Win | KO | 18–1 | 19 |
Mike Luna | Win | KO | 17–1 | 18 |
Sung-Yul Lee | Win | TKO | 16–1 | 17 |
Ippo Gala | Win | TKO | 15–1 | 16 |
Bert Batiller | Win | TKO | 14–1 | 15 |
John Medina | Win | TKO | 13–1 | 14 |
Marlon Carillo | Win | UD | 12–1 | 13 |
Rustico Torrecampo | Loss | KO | 11–1 | 12 |
Lito Torrejos | Win | TD | 11–0 | 11 |
Rolando Toyogon | Win | UD | 10–0 | 10 |
Rudolfo Fernandez | Win | TKO | 9–0 | 9 |
Renato Mendones | Win | TKO | 8–0 | 8 |
Lolito Laroa | Win | UD | 7–0 | 7 |
Armando Rocil | Win | KO | 6–0 | 6 |
Acasio Simbajon | Win | UD | 5–0 | 5 |
Dele Decierto | Win | TKO | 4–0 | 4 |
Rocky Palma | Win | UD | 3–0 | 3 |
Pinoy Montejo | Win | UD | 2–0 | 2 |
Edmund Enting Ignacio | Win | UD | 1–0 | 1 |
This fight marks the 45th time that Matthysse steps into the ring. He has a career record of 39-4-1 with staggering 36 knockouts. The following is a quick look at Lucas Matthysse’s fight career:
Opponent | Fight Result | Record | Fight # | |
Tewa Kiram | Win | KO | 39–4 (1 NC) | 44 |
Emmanuel Taylor | Win | TKO | 38–4 (1 NC) | 43 |
Viktor Postol | Loss | KO | 37–4 (1 NC) | 42 |
Ruslan Provodnikov | Win | MD | 37–3 (1 NC) | 41 |
Roberto Ortiz | Win | KO | 36–3 (1 NC) | 40 |
John Molina Jr. | Win | KO | 35–3 (1 NC) | 39 |
Danny García | Loss | UD | 34–3 (1 NC) | 38 |
Lamont Peterson | Win | TKO | 34–2 (1 NC) | 37 |
Mike Dallas Jr. | Win | KO | 33–2 (1 NC) | 36 |
Ajose Olusegun | Win | TKO | 32–2 (1 NC) | 35 |
Humberto Soto | Win | RTD | 31–2 (1 NC) | 34 |
Martín Ángel Martínez | Win | TKO | 30–2 (1 NC) | 33 |
Sergio Omar Priotti | Win | KO | 29–2 (1 NC) | 32 |
Devon Alexander | Loss | SD | 28–2 (1 NC) | 31 |
DeMarcus Corley | Win | TKO | 28–1 (1 NC) | 30 |
Zab Judah | Loss | SD | 27–1 (1 NC) | 29 |
Rogelio Castañeda Jr. | Win | KO | 27–0 (1 NC) | 28 |
Vivian Harris | Win | TKO | 26–0 (1 NC) | 27 |
Florencio Castellano | Win | KO | 25–0 (1 NC) | 26 |
Luis Ernesto José | Win | KO | 24–0 (1 NC) | 25 |
Carlos Adán Jerez | Win | UD | 23–0 (1 NC) | 24 |
Rogelio Castañeda Jr. | NC | NC | 22–0 (1 NC) | 23 |
Gilbert Quiros | Win | TKO | 22–0 | 22 |
Jorge Medrano | Win | RTD | 21–0 | 21 |
Esteban de Jesus Morales | Win | KO | 20–0 | 20 |
Ariel Francisco Burgos | Win | KO | 19–0 | 19 |
Ramon Duran | Win | KO | 18–0 | 18 |
Alejandro Ciacia | Win | KO | 17–0 | 17 |
Diego Jesús Ponce | Win | KO | 16–0 | 16 |
Justo Evangelista Martínez | Win | KO | 15–0 | 15 |
Ceferino Zampatti | Win | KO | 14–0 | 14 |
Hernan Abraham Valenzuela | Win | TKO | 13–0 | 13 |
Victor Daniel Rios | Win | KO | 12–0 | 12 |
Hernan Abraham Valenzuela | Win | RTD | 11–0 | 11 |
Vicente Luis Burgo | Win | KO | 10–0 | 10 |
Jorge Alberto Carballo | Win | TKO | 9–0 | 9 |
Marcelo Omar Lazarte | Win | RTD | 8–0 | 8 |
Jesus Ceferino Vergara | Win | RTD | 7–0 | 7 |
Nestor Fabian Sanchez | Win | TKO | 6–0 | 6 |
Hugo Antonio Aquino | Win | KO | 5–0 | 5 |
Adan Basilio Mironchik | Win | KO | 4–0 | 4 |
Bernardino Gonzalez | Win | DQ | 3–0 | 3 |
Luis Roberto Aguilar | Win | TKO | 2–0 | 2 |
Leandro Almagro | Win | TKO | 1–0 | 1 |
The following is a list of current betting odds courtesy of 5Dimes.com:
Pacquiao will go down in the history books as the better fighter of the two, but neither one of these guys is lighting up the sport of boxing right now.
The 35-year old Matthysse is on a two fight winning streak, has won 4 out of 5, and 8 out of his last 10 bouts. Lucas looked utterly broken in his fight against Viktor Postol roughly 3 years ago. By all accounts, many pundits wrote off Matthysse as being anything other than a finished fighter. From there, he would go on to win his next two fights and the vacant WBA welterweight title. Even with those accomplishments, Matthysse is not the same fighter he was over 5 years ago when he was a top contender in his division. There was a time when just the name of Lucas Matthysse would signal to boxing fans that they were going to be in for an exciting fight. Nowadays, not so much.
Manny Pacquiao lost his last fight in highly controversial fashion. Pacquiao has gone 3-2 in his last 5 fights and 6-4 in his last 10 fights. Many fans and pundits have been calling for Pacquiao to retire, but the Senator keeps on fighting. However, it’s obvious that Manny is no longer the elite fighter he used to be. In December, Manny turns 40 years old and may or may not keep fighting. It’s clear that he loves the sport of boxing, but at what point does he begin to damage his legacy?
As mentioned above, Pacquiao is going into this fight without Freddie Roach. His longtime friend and assistant trainer Buboy Fernandez will be the corner general for this fight. Fernandez is publicly declaring that Pacquiao will be a different monster for this bout. As of now, we’re not sure what “monster” he will be: the fighter that knocks out his opponents or the fighter that tries to win on points?
With a big fight like this, we have plenty of betting options in addition to the moneylines. The following is a list of prop bets courtesy of 5Dimes.com:
I believe this fight has a decent chance of going the distance. Pacquiao isn’t the knockout artist he used to be. Twelve out of Manny’s last thirteen fights have all gone the distance including the last seven straight. For his career, Pacquiao has 21 decisions. Roughly 30% of his fights have ended in a decision victory for him. And he also has another 4 decision losses on his resume.
Matthysse has 36 knockouts in 39 victories. He’s only been ko’d once in his career, but that makes 37 out of his 44 career fights ending in a KO or TKO. He doesn’t try to fight for a decision. Matthysse is willing to mix it up and go for the finish. However, Manny might be better off using his experience to outbox Matthysse and push for a decision rather than risk mixing it up and taking a massive shot.
I believe this fight will go the distance. Bet the Yes on this one at -245.
Although the odds of this fight ending in a Draw are close to zero, there’s no betting value in betting on the No. My best advice is to just avoid this prop bet.
As mentioned above, I believe this fight has a better chance of going the distance than finishing inside of the 12 rounds. But, I do like the value here, especially with Pacquiao. Matthysse probably has the power advantage at this point in their respective careers, but Manny is a great counter puncher and can overwhelm his opponents with a large volume of punches. I don’t see Matthysse backing down, so there is a chance that one of the two fighters can catch a knockout shot. Go with Manny at +485.
If this fight goes the distance, I don’t see Matthysse taking a decision unless this is the same group of judges from the Jeff Horn fight. More than likely, if Lucas were to win, it would be due to a KO or TKO.
This prop bet is the most likely outcome for the fight. As mentioned above, 12 out of Manny’s last 13 fights have gone to a decision. For his career, Manny has won 21 fights via decision and I believe that this will be number 22.
There used to be a time when a Pacquiao fight was a must see event. Unfortunately, those days are over with. For those that hope to see a good fight between two fighters on the decline then I believe you will enjoy this action. Pacquiao and Matthysse match up well together. Lucas wants to finish the fight, so that will put him in a position for Pacquiao to hit. Manny won’t have to chase after Matthysse as he will be looking for Manny. Unless Matthysse can rock Pacquiao with a big shot, I believe that Manny will win this fight most likely by a 12 round Unanimous Decision.